亚马逊履行中心的开放是否影响了对残疾保险的需求?
Kara E Rudolph1, Nicholas T Williams1, Floriana Milazzo1
1Department of Epidemiology, Mailman School of Public Health, Columbia University, New York, New York, United States of America.
PloS one
|November 27, 2023
概括
亚马逊履行中心 (FC) 的兴起可能会减少蓝领工人对社会保障残疾保险 (SSDI) 的申请. 这表明新的就业机会正在改善当地劳动力市场的经济机会.
科学领域:
- 经济学 经济学 经济学
- 劳动力市场研究 劳动力市场研究
- 社会政策 社会政策 社会政策
背景情况:
- 在美国,制造业失业 (17.6%从1970年到2016年) 减少了蓝领工人的中产阶级途径.
- 经济机会的减少与对残疾保险 (SSDI) 的需求增加有关.
- 亚马逊最近扩建的履行中心 (FC) 提供了新的蓝领就业机会.
研究的目的:
- 为了估计亚马逊FC开放对SSDI申请率的影响.
- 分析对SSDI申请批准和拒绝的影响.
- 评估受影响的劳动力市场对经济机会的影响.
主要方法:
- 使用合成对照组方法来模拟FC开口的影响.
- 在有和没有新FC的地区比较SSDI应用趋势.
- 在FC建立后的三年期间分析了数据.
主要成果:
- FC开放与SSDI申请率下降1.4%有关.
- 据估计,这意味着每年每个通勤区的SSDI申请数量减少了5,528个.
- 调查结果表明,当地经济状况有所改善,尽管信心区间很宽.
结论:
- 亚马逊FC可以通过减少对SSDI的依赖来积极影响当地劳动力市场.
- 通过FCs创造蓝领就业机会似乎提供了替代的经济途径.
- 需要进一步的研究来证实效应的大小,因为信任区间很宽.
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