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关于刚性和灵活的矿太阳能模块的技术经济视角
Lucie McGovern1,2, Erik Christian Garnett1,2, Sjoerd Veenstra3
1University of Amsterdam, Faculty of Science (HIMS, IOP and/or IAS) Amsterdam The Netherlands lucie.mcgovern@free.fr.
Sustainable energy & fuels
|November 28, 2023
概括
技术经济分析显示,矿太阳能电池虽然有希望,但面临着与光伏相比的成本挑战. 它们的优势在于灵活的模块和并联应用,到2050年可能减少LCOE.
科学领域:
- 太阳能光伏发电是如何实现的
- 材料科学 材料科学 材料科学
- 能源经济学 能源经济学
背景情况:
- 矿太阳能电池 (PSC) 已经取得了显著的进步,接近商业可行性.
- 对于PSC模块的制造成本差异很大 (10-100欧元/平方米),受设计 (刚性/灵活性) 的影响.
研究的目的:
- 进行一项技术经济研究,比较矿光伏技术.
- 根据各种成本场景和模块设计,评估PSC的水平化能源成本 (LCOE).
- 根据学习曲线分析,预测PSC的未来LCOE.
主要方法:
- 对单连接矿模块发布的制造成本进行比较分析.
- 作为模块效率,稳定性和成本场景的函数,LCOE计算.
- 扩展LCOE方程,以包括灵活,轻量级模块和合配置的好处.
- 学习曲线分析应用于单环节和并联模块的资本支出 (CAPEX).
主要成果:
- 矿光伏的LCOE在4.3到25.5ct/kWh之间,目前无法与公用事业部门的光伏竞争.
- 通过卷对卷制造生产的灵活轻型模块提供了竞争优势.
- 协奏模块 (矿-) 显示了降低成本和提高性能的巨大潜力.
结论:
- 矿光伏的直接竞争优势在于利基应用,有利于灵活性和低重量.
- 协同模块开发对于广泛的市场透至关重要.
- 乐观的情景预测,到2050年,矿光伏的LCOE可能达到2.8 ct/kWh,从而实现更广泛的竞争.
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