评估精英运动员中兴奋剂的流行:单个样本计数方法与无关问题方法生成结果的分析
Rolf Ulrich1, Léa Cléret2, R Dawn Comstock3
1Department of Psychology, University of Tübingen, 72076, Tübingen, Germany.
Sports medicine - open
|November 28, 2023
概括
这项研究挑战了2011年世界田径锦标赛和泛阿拉伯运动会最近较低的兴奋剂患病率估计. 它表明,用于较低估计的数据也与之前报告的更高的兴奋剂患病率一致.
科学领域:
- 运动科学 运动科学 运动科学
- 在反兴奋剂控制中.
- 生物统计学 生物统计学
背景情况:
- 2018年之前的研究估计使用无关问题模型 (UQM) 在主要体育赛事中高兴奋剂的流行率.
- 最近使用单个样本计数 (SSC) 方法的研究报告了相同事件的兴奋剂使用率大幅降低.
- 兴奋剂患病率估计的差异需要对方法进行重新评估.
研究的目的:
- 批判性地评估Petróczi等人使用的方法. 用于计算兴奋剂的流行率.
- 为了证明单个样本计数 (SSC) 数据与更高的兴奋剂患病率估计的兼容性.
- 为了协调有关精英田径运动中兴奋剂使用率的相互矛盾的发现.
主要方法:
- 在2011年世界田径锦标赛和泛阿拉伯运动会上收集的单个样本计数 (SSC) 数据的重新分析.
- 应用统计建模来评估SSC数据与不同流行水平的一致性.
- 结果与先前公布的无关问题模型 (UQM) 估计结果进行比较.
主要成果:
- 在最近基于SSC的分析中确定了潜在的方法缺陷.
- 证明SSC数据可以支持高兴奋剂流行率估计,类似于UQM的估计.
- 表明,Petróczi等人提出的较低患病率是 Petróczi等人提出的. 不是SSC数据的唯一有效解释.
结论:
- 佩特罗奇等人使用的方法. 可能导致低估了兴奋剂的流行率.
- 单个样本计数 (SSC) 数据,当适当分析时,支持以前使用无关问题模型 (UQM) 报告的更高的兴奋剂使用率.
- 对强大的兴奋剂检测和流行率估计方法的进一步调查是有必要的.
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