各国的生理衰老和生命周期劳动力供应
Casper Worm Hansen1, Carl-Johan Dalgaard1, Holger Strulik2
1Department of Economics, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark.
PloS one
|November 29, 2023
概括
通过脆弱指数衡量的生理衰老会对劳动力参与产生负面影响. 健康状况恶化解释了180个国家的几乎所有与年龄相关的就业减少.
科学领域:
- 老年学是一门学科.
- 经济学 经济学 经济学
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
背景情况:
- 劳动力参与率随着年龄的增长而下降.
- 生理衰老和健康缺陷在这种衰退中的作用尚未完全理解.
- 现有的研究往往难以将健康影响与其他与年龄相关的因素分开.
研究的目的:
- 构建一个全面的脆弱指数,用于国际比较.
- 量化生理衰老对劳动力参与的影响.
- 确定健康状况恶化的程度如何解释与年龄相关的就业趋势.
主要方法:
- 为180个国家 (1990-2019) 开发了一个基于队列的脆弱指数.
- 采用一个三维面板框架 (国家,队列,年龄).
- 利用生理衰老的补偿定律来解决反向因果关系.
主要成果:
- 脆弱性指数上升1%会使劳动力参与率降低0.6个百分点.
- 健康缺陷累积在每年的生命中约为3%.
- 生理衰老几乎占据了与年龄相关的劳动力参与率下降的所有原因.
结论:
- 健康状况恶化是与年龄相关的劳动力参与率下降的主要驱动因素.
- 脆弱性指数是评估对经济活动健康影响的可靠指标.
- 针对健康维护的政策干预措施可能会支持老龄化人口的持续劳动力参与.
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