美国降水和传染病的联合极端:一个双变的POT研究
Zhiyan Cai1,2, Yuqing Zhang3, Tenglong Li4
1Department of Bioinformatics, Xi'an Jiaotong-Liverpool University, SIP 215123, China.
One health (Amsterdam, Netherlands)
|November 29, 2023
概括
气候变化驱动的暴雨事件 (HPEs) 与美国传染病死亡率的增加有关. 这项研究量化了这种极端关系,发现了显著的区域差异,并突出了菌根特别依赖降雨.
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 流行病学 流行病学
- 气候变化的影响 气候变化的影响
背景情况:
- 气候变化正在增加大量降水事件 (HPE),引发人们对公共卫生影响的担忧.
- 虽然已知传染病在此类事件发生后会增加,但HPE和传染病死亡率之间的极端关系仍未得到充分研究.
研究的目的:
- 调查美国降雨和传染病死亡率的联合极端情况.
- 量化这种极端依赖的强度和空间变化.
主要方法:
- 利用来自国家环境信息中心和疾病控制和预防中心的公开数据.
- 采用多变量峰值超值 (POT) 建模,这是极端价值分析的前沿方法.
- 从物流依赖模型中使用极端参数测量极端依赖.
主要成果:
- 在美国发现大雨和传染病死亡率之间存在积极的关联,但区域差异很大.
- 美国中西部地区的HPEs对传染病死亡率的影响更高.
- 菌株在大多数地区表现出最强的极端依赖降水,这表明空间差异.
结论:
- 结果显示,HPE与传染病死亡率之间的极端依赖性存在显著的空间差异.
- 地理,社会经济因素和疾病特征可能有助于这些观察到的空间差异.
- 该研究为制定减轻天气和健康事件极端风险的策略提供了关键的见解.
更多相关视频
06:55Inverse Probability of Treatment Weighting Propensity Score using the Military Health System Data Repository and National Death Index
Published on: January 8, 2020
14.5K
04:47Author Spotlight: Controlled Human Exposure Model for Tick Research and Lyme Disease Studies
Published on: December 1, 2023
671
相关概念视频
Statistical Methods for Analyzing Epidemiological Data
372
Epidemiological data primarily involves information on specific populations' occurrence, distribution, and determinants of health and diseases. This data is crucial for understanding disease patterns and impacts, aiding public health decision-making and disease prevention strategies. The analysis of epidemiological data employs various statistical methods to interpret health-related data effectively. Here are some commonly used methods:
372
Precipitation and Co-precipitation
1.8K
Precipitation and coprecipitation methods can be used to separate a mixture of ions in a solution. In qualitative inorganic analysis, ions that form sparingly soluble precipitates with the same reagent are separated based on the differences in solubility products. For example, consider the separation of Cu(II) and Fe(II) ions by precipitation as insoluble sulfides. First, copper(II) sulfide is precipitated by the addition of acidic H2S, where the dissociation of H2S is suppressed. Adding H2S...
1.8K
Bias in Epidemiological Studies
291
Biases can arise at various stages of research, from study design and data collection to analysis and interpretation. Recognizing and addressing these biases is essential to ensure the validity and reliability of epidemiological findings.Broadly speaking, biases in epidemiology fall into three main categories: selection bias, information bias, and confounding. A more detailed description of possible biases is:
291
Causality in Epidemiology
428
Causality or causation is a fundamental concept in epidemiology, vital for understanding the relationships between various factors and health outcomes. Despite its importance, there's no single, universally accepted definition of causality within the discipline. Drawing from a systematic review, causality in epidemiology encompasses several definitions, including production, necessary and sufficient, sufficient-component, counterfactual, and probabilistic models. Each has its strengths and...
428
Prevalence and Incidence
558
In statistical epidemiology and health sciences, two essential metrics—prevalence and incidence—are fundamental for understanding disease dynamics within a population. These measures enable public health officials, epidemiologists, and researchers to assess the burden of diseases, allocate resources effectively, and design impactful public health policies and interventions.
Prevalence indicates the proportion of individuals in a population who have a specific disease or health...
Prevalence indicates the proportion of individuals in a population who have a specific disease or health...
558
Confounding in Epidemiological Studies
170
Confounding in statistical epidemiology represents a pivotal challenge, referring to the distortion in the perceived relationship between an exposure and an outcome due to the presence of a third variable, known as a confounder. This variable is associated with both the exposure and the outcome but is not a direct link in their causal chain. Its presence can lead to erroneous interpretations of the exposure's effect, either exaggerating or underestimating the true association. This...
170
