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相关概念视频

Hindsight Biases01:12

Hindsight Biases

3.4K
Hindsight bias leads you to believe that the event you just experienced was predictable, even though it really wasn’t. In other words, you knew all along that things would turn out the way they did. Can you relate this to the phrase "Hindsight is 20/20" now? 
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Confirmation Biases01:31

Confirmation Biases

5.5K
The confirmation bias is the tendency to focus on information that confirms our existing beliefs and ignore information that is inconsistent with our expectations. For example, if you think that your professor is not very nice, you notice all of the instances of rude behavior exhibited by the professor while ignoring the countless pleasant interactions he is involved in on a daily basis. Have you ever fallen prey to the confirmation bias, either as the source or target of such bias?
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Uncertainty: Confidence Intervals00:54

Uncertainty: Confidence Intervals

4.1K
The confidence interval is the range of values around the mean that contains the true mean. It is expressed as a probability percentage. The interpretation of a 95% confidence interval, for instance, is that the statistician is 95% confident that the true mean falls within the interval. The upper and lower limits of this range are known as confidence limits. The confidence limits for the true mean are estimated from the sample's mean, the standard deviation, and the statistical factor...
4.1K
Confidence Coefficient01:24

Confidence Coefficient

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The confidence coefficient is also known as the confidence level or degree of confidence. It is the percent expression for the probability, 1-α, that the confidence interval contains the true population parameter assuming that the confidence interval is obtained after sufficient unbiased sampling; for example, if the CL = 90%, then in 90 out of 100 samples the interval estimate will enclose the true population parameter. Here α is the area under the curve, distributed equally under...
7.6K
Confidence Intervals01:21

Confidence Intervals

6.3K
An unbiased point estimate is often insufficient to predict a population estimate, such as population mean or population proportion. In this scenario, a confidence interval is used. A confidence interval is an estimate similar to a  sample proportion. However, unlike the point estimate which is a single value, the confidence interval  contains a range of values. These values have lower and upper limits, known as confidence limits, and can be designated as L1 and L2, respectively.
A...
6.3K
Fundamental Attribution Error01:14

Fundamental Attribution Error

12.9K
According to some social psychologists, people tend to overemphasize internal factors as explanations—or attributions—for the behavior of other people. They tend to assume that the behavior of another person is a trait of that person, and to underestimate the power of the situation on the behavior of others. They tend to fail to recognize when the behavior of another is due to situational variables, and thus to the person’s state. This erroneous assumption is...
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相关实验视频

Updated: Jul 9, 2025

Problem-Solving Before Instruction PS-I: A Protocol for Assessment and Intervention in Students with Different Abilities
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Problem-Solving Before Instruction PS-I: A Protocol for Assessment and Intervention in Students with Different Abilities

Published on: September 11, 2021

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中级科学知识预测过度自信.

Carmen Sanchez1, David Dunning2

  • 1University of Illinois at Urbana Champaign, Champaign, IL, USA.

Trends in cognitive sciences
|November 29, 2023
PubMed
概括

科学过度自信在具有中间知识的人群中是最高的. 这一群人也表现出对科学家最负面的态度,根据对过度自信度测量的新研究.

科学领域:

  • 心理学 心理学 心理学
  • 科学传播科学传播
  • 认识论的认识论学.

背景情况:

  • 对科学知识的过度信任可能会影响公众的信任和参与.
  • 了解知识水平和对科学的态度之间的关系至关重要.

研究的目的:

  • 研究科学知识水平与过度自信之间的关系.
  • 检查过度自信和知识水平如何与对科学家的态度相关.
  • 引入一种用于评估科学过度自信的新方法.

主要方法:

  • 评估了参与者的科学知识水平.
  • 采用了一种新的过度自信指标,重点关注提供错误答案的倾向,而不是声明不确定性.
  • 对科学家的态度进行了调查.

主要成果:

  • 发现科学过度自信在知识的中间水平上达到顶峰.
  • 有中等知识的个人对科学家表现出最负面的态度.
  • 这种新的过度自信指标有效地捕捉了犯错的倾向,而不是表达无知.

结论:

  • 中级知识水平与最高程度的科学过度自信有关.
关键词:
宁克鲁格尔效应是什么意思这是一个初学者泡.过度的自信 过度的自信科学家科学家科学家科学家科学家科学家

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  • 对科学家的负面态度普遍存在于那些具有中间知识的人群中.
  • 开发的测量方法提供了对科学过度自信的更细致的理解.