在水库级联系统中预测总的含量
Marianna Correia Aragão Goes1, Mário Ubirajara Gonçalves Barros2, Iran Eduardo Lima Neto3
1Department of Hydraulic and Environmental Engineering, Federal University of Ceará, Bl. 713, Fortaleza, 60.451-970, Brazil.
Environmental monitoring and assessment
|November 29, 2023
概括
巴西一个水库级联系统中的水质因停留时间短,内部负荷高而恶化. 通过纳入时间延迟,预测模型得到了显著改进,这有助于干旱地区的水资源管理.
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 水文学的水文学
- 水质管理水质管理
背景情况:
- 水库级联系统对于水的供应至关重要,特别是在干旱地区.
- 人工级联系统可能面临水质恶化,包括过度缩.
- 之前对自然河流系统的研究表明,下游的水质有所改善,与这次布不同.
研究的目的:
- 为了研究巴西半干旱地区五个水库级联系统中的水质动态.
- 评估影响布沿线水质恶化的因素.
- 开发下游水库中总度的预测模型.
主要方法:
- 分析水质数据 (总,,叶绿素a等) 从2013年开始到2021年.
- 应用多重回归模型来评估上游和下游水库参数之间的关系.
- 在预测模型中包括与累计居住时间相对应的时间延迟.
主要成果:
- 沿着布的水质并没有改善;相反,它退化了.
- 低水停留时间和高内部负荷被确定为关键因素.
- 预测模型的准确性 (R2) 总度随时间延迟显著提高,特别是在距离较远的水库之间.
结论:
- 人工道系统阻碍了自然污染物去除,导致水质下降.
- 将时间延迟纳入预测模型提高了预测下游水质的能力.
- 这些发现对于在半干旱水库级联系统中有效管理水资源至关重要.
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