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气候时间尺度对特征环境关系稳定性的影响
Caroline A Famiglietti1, Matthew Worden1, Leander D L Anderegg2
1Department of Earth System Science, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, 94305, USA.
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概括
植物特征根据组织寿命而对气候做出反应,而不是长期平均值. 考虑到相关的气候时间尺度对于在气候变化中准确的特征环境预测至关重要.
科学领域:
- 生态生态学 生态生态学
- 植物生理学 植物生理学
- 气候变化科学 气候变化科学
背景情况:
- 特性与环境的关系是生态建模的关键.
- 气候变化引入了环境预测指标的非静止性.
- 如果不考虑气候时间尺度,目前的模型可能会错误.
研究的目的:
- 研究植物特征与环境关系的时间尺度依赖性.
- 确定不同的植物特征 (叶子与木材) 如何对不同的气候时间表做出反应.
- 评估使用非最佳气候时间尺度对预测准确性的影响.
主要方法:
- 与当地气候数据相对应的现场植物特征测量 (特定叶面积,叶子,木材密度) 的回归.
- 总结了多个,逐渐长时间的气候特征.
- 分析了每个特征的不同气候时间尺度的预测能力.
主要成果:
- 叶子的特征 (特定的叶子面积,叶子) 最好通过最近的气候时间表来预测.
- 木材密度表现出长期记忆,对更长的气候时间表做出反应.
- 使用错误的气候时间尺度大大降低了特征环境关系的准确性.
结论:
- 植物的特征会在与组织寿命相关的时间尺度上对气候作出反应.
- 长期的气候正常是不那么有效的预测比暂时相关的气候变量.
- 在非静止气候中准确预测特征变化需要考虑相关的气候时间尺度.
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