环境质量及其对总生育率的影响:从新的角度进行计量经济学分析
Shah Md Atiqul Haq1, Mohammad Ashraful Ferdous Chowdhury2, Khandaker Jafor Ahmed3
1Department of Sociology, Shahjalal University of Science and Technology, Sylhet, 3114, Bangladesh. shahatiq1@yahoo.com.
BMC public health
|December 2, 2023
概括
碳和渔场等生态足迹指标对总生育率 (TFR) 产生负面影响,而林产品则对其产生积极影响. 结果显示,不同国家对TFR的影响各不相同,影响各不相同.
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 人口统计学 人口统计学
- 生态经济学生态经济学
背景情况:
- 环境质量是人类生存的重要决定因素.
- 生态足迹是评估环境质量对总生育率 (TFR) 影响的代表.
- 本研究调查了生态足迹指标在1990年至2017年间31个国家对TFR的影响.
研究的目的:
- 分析生态足迹指标与TFR之间的关系.
- 确定环境质量,以生态足迹为代理,如何影响生育率.
- 探索各种生态足迹成分对TFR影响的异质性.
主要方法:
- 关于生态足迹 (碳,农田,牧场,林产品,渔业) 的数据来自全球足迹网络.
- 关于TFR,人类发展指数 (HDI) 和人均国民总收入 (GNI) 的数据来源于世界银行和联合国.
- 应用了静态面板和定量回归模型来检查生态足迹-TFR关系.
主要成果:
- 人口发达指数,碳排放和渔场足迹对TFR产生负面影响 (p < 0.01).
- 农田和森林产品的足迹对TFR产生了积极的影响 (p < 0.01).
- 人均国民收入对TFR产生了积极的影响 (p = 0.01),而人类发展指数和碳足迹在所有量度上都显示出负面影响.
结论:
- 碳和渔场足迹与TFR之间存在负相关性,而林产品足迹显示出正相关性.
- 生态足迹指标并不统一地影响TFR;每个指标都观察到不同的影响 (正面或负面).
- 未来的研究应该探索生态足迹对其他人口动态,如死亡率和移民的影响.
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