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多种场景减少途径和中国部门碳排放的脱分析

Kaile Zhou^1,2, Jingna Yang^1,2, Hui Yin^1,3

¹School of Management, Hefei University of Technology, Hefei 230009, China.

|December 4, 2023

概括

中国中国中国中国.

科学领域:

环境科学环境科学
气候变化研究气候变化研究
能源政策能源政策

背景情况:

中国的目标是实现碳排放峰值和碳中和.
所有经济部门都需要协同努力.
了解特定部门的排放途径至关重要.

研究的目的:

探索中国2020年至2060年的减排路径.
确定将经济增长与二氧化碳排放脱的时间.
分析三个不同的场景:基线,政策和绿色低碳.

主要方法:

用于减排路径的场景建模.
对部门排放峰值和二氧化碳脱的分析.
预测2020年至2060年的排放趋势.

主要成果:

碳排放峰值预计在2025年至2030年之间跨越各个场景.
经济增长与二氧化碳排放有着强烈的脱.
农业,林业,畜牧业和渔业 (AFH) 和采矿和采石 (MQ) 部门在实现碳峰值方面处于领先地位.

结论:

建议制定特定部门的碳峰值目标.
在向碳中和过渡期间,必须确保能源安全.
大多数行业,除了电力,天然气和水 (EGW),到2030年达到峰值.

关键词:

环境问题环境问题环境政策环境政策环境科学环境科学

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