宗教性和终身生育意图的轨迹 - 来自德国小组研究的证据
Christoph Bein1, Jasmin Passet-Wittig2, Martin Bujard3
1City of Leipzig - Office for Statistics and Elections, Thomasiusstraße 1, 04109 Leipzig, Germany; Federal Institute for Population Research (BiB), Friedrich-Ebert-Allee 4, 65185 Wiesbaden, Germany; Netherlands Interdisciplinary Demographic Institute (NIDI-KNAW), Lange Houtstraat 19, 2511 CV Den Haag, the Netherlands and University of Groningen, Broerstraat 5, 9712 CP Groningen, the Netherlands.
Advances in life course research
|December 6, 2023
概括
宗教影响青少年最初的生育意图,但不会改变长期趋势. 高度虔诚的人开始有更高的生育意图,但这些意图随着年龄的增长而下降,类似于不那么虔诚的同龄人.
科学领域:
- 社会学 社会学 社会学
- 人口统计学 人口统计学
- 心理学 心理学 心理学
背景情况:
- 生育意图预测生育行为,但在整个生命中发生变化.
- 宗教对随着时间的推移对生育意图的演变的影响还未得到充分研究.
研究的目的:
- 调查宗教如何影响终身生育意图的轨迹.
- 为了确定与较少宗教信仰的人相比,高度宗教信仰的人在一生中是否保持更高的生育意图.
主要方法:
- 利用随机和固定效应的增长曲线模型.
- 分析了来自德国家庭小组pairfam的数据,其中包括6214名女性和5802名14-46岁的男性.
主要成果:
- 宗教性显著影响了青少年最初的生育意图.
- 高度宗教信仰的人表现出更高的初始生育意图.
- 对于高度宗教信仰和不那么宗教信仰的人来说,生育意图随着年龄的增长而下降,这表明宗教信仰不会改变这些轨迹.
结论:
- 宗教是生育意图研究的关键因素,但其影响随着年龄的增长而减弱.
- 虽然宗教性塑造了最初的意图,但它并不能阻止与年龄相关的生育意图在一生中的下降.
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