伙伴关系的动态和进入父母身份:芬兰出生队列1969-2000年的比较
Leen Rahnu1, Marika Jalovaara2
1University of Turku, Faculty of Social Sciences, Department of Social Research & INVEST research flagship, FI-20014, Finland; Tallinn University, Estonian Institute for Population Studies, 10120 Tallinn, Estonia.
Advances in life course research
|December 6, 2023
概括
芬兰的生育率有所下降,因为建立伴侣关系和生孩子之间的联系已经减弱. 伴侣关系的不稳定性正在增加,越来越少的人成为父母,限制了未来的生育率增加.
科学领域:
- 人口统计学 人口统计学
- 社会学 社会学 社会学
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
背景情况:
- 在过去的十年中,包括芬兰在内的北欧国家生育率下降.
- 改变伙伴关系动态在生育趋势中的作用仍然不清楚.
研究的目的:
- 为了检查共同居住伙伴关系的形成/稳定性和芬兰的第一个出生之间的关系.
- 为了研究这些关联如何在不同的出生队伍中演变.
主要方法:
- 利用芬兰总人口登记册的1969年至2000年间出生的人口数据.
- 采用事件历史分析来研究伙伴关系和第一个出生模式.
主要成果:
- 伙伴关系的形成正在被推迟,特别是1990年代出生的队列的非婚姻伙伴关系.
- 第一次出生被推迟了,成为父母的个体比例下降了.
- 现在分居的概率超过了1990年代出生的伴侣女性的第一个出生概率.
结论:
- 合作伙伴关系形成与育儿关系之间的传统联系在出生队伍中显著受到侵蚀.
- 降低生育率受到延迟的合作伙伴关系形成,增加的不稳定性和推迟的第一次分娩的影响.
- 鉴于目前的人口趋势,在不久的将来生育率的大幅增加不太可能.
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