在生命的前24小时内,因可预防原因导致的死亡率的时间分析,2000-2021年
Aline Beatriz Dos Santos Silva1,2,3, Luciana Scarlazzari Costa4, Paulo Germano de Frias5
1Universidade Federal de Pernambuco, Recife, PE, Brasil.
Revista latino-americana de enfermagem
|December 6, 2023
概括
在 Pernambuco,出生前24小时和可预防原因的死亡率从2000年到2021年呈现下降趋势. 这项研究强调了减少新生儿死亡率的进展.
科学领域:
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
- 流行病学 流行病学
- 人口统计学 人口统计学
背景情况:
- 全球新生儿死亡率仍然是一个重大的公共卫生问题.
- 了解早期死亡率的时间趋势对于有针对性的干预至关重要.
- 可预防的原因对婴儿死亡有很大影响,需要有针对性的预防策略.
研究的目的:
- 分析生命的前24小时内死亡的时间模式.
- 为了估计巴西珀南布科州可预防原因的死亡率.
- 预测2000年至2021年早期和可预防死亡率的未来趋势.
主要方法:
- 生态研究设计与季度分析单元.
- 利用死亡信息系统和活产信息系统的数据.
- 使用自回归集成移动平均线 (ARIMA) 模型进行时间序列分析.
主要成果:
- 在生命的前24小时内记录了14462例死亡; 76.8%是可以预防的.
- 在最初的24小时内,预计的死亡率从每1000个活产婴儿的3.3下降到2.4下降.
- 预计由可预防原因导致的死亡率从每1000个活产婴儿中的2.3个下降到1.8个.
结论:
- 预测表明,在减少早期死亡率和可预防原因的死亡方面,有积极的趋势.
- 阿里马模型为新生儿期的死亡率和可预防原因提供了可靠的估计.
- 这些发现表明,在 Pernambuco 有成功的公共卫生战略来降低新生儿死亡率.
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