评估巴塞罗那 (2013-2018) 道路安全措施的有效性
Lluís Bermúdez1,2, Isabel Morillo1
1Department of Economics, Financial and Actuarial Mathematics, University of Barcelona, Spain.
Heliyon
|December 7, 2023
概括
巴塞罗那的交通安全措施从2013年到2018年减少了事故严重程度. 虽然教育计划和基础设施变化是有效的,但速度控制和测试需要改进,以提高道路安全.
科学领域:
- 城市规划是城市规划.
- 交通运输安全运输安全
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
背景情况:
- 巴塞罗那在2013年至2018年期间实施了道路安全措施.
- 2010-2019年的交通事故数据是公开的.
- 评估这些措施的影响对于未来的战略至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 评估巴塞罗那交通安全干预措施的有效性.
- 分析实施的措施有多大程度地降低了事故严重程度.
- 识别成功和不太有效的道路安全策略.
主要方法:
- 使用二进制物流回归模型.
- 分析了来自巴塞罗那开放数据平台 (2010-2019) 的交通事故数据.
- 模型结果与地方道路安全计划 (2013-2018) 的比较结果.
主要成果:
- 确定了有效的措施,包括教育计划,平静区,改善行人过道和扩大自行车道.
- 发现某些干预措施,如速度控制和药物/酒精检测,具有不确定的或无效的影响.
- 观察到交通事故严重程度有所下降,死亡人数比严重受伤人数减少更多.
结论:
- 实施的交通安全措施可能有助于减少巴塞罗那事故的严重程度.
- 具体的干预措施被证明是有效的,而另一些则需要重新评估.
- 需要进一步专注于优化诸如速度控制和驾驶障碍强制执行等措施.
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