增加绿海在地中海变暖中的息地适合性
Chiara Mancino1, Sandra Hochscheid2, Luigi Maiorano3
1Department of Biology and Biotechnologies ''Charles Darwin'', Sapienza University of Rome, Viale Dell'Università 32, 00185, Rome, Italy. chiara.mancino@uniroma1.it.
Scientific reports
|December 7, 2023
概括
气候变化可能会扩大地中海绿海 (Chelonia mydas) 适合筑巢的区域. 保护工作应集中在监测西地中海海的潜在范围扩大和威胁.
科学领域:
- 海洋生物学 海洋生物学
- 气候变化 生态学 生态学
- 保护科学 保护科学
背景情况:
- 气候变化对海洋生态系统和生物多样性产生重大影响.
- 海洋内热生物,像海一样,由于温度依赖的生物学,特别容易受到伤害.
- 海利用海洋和陆地息地,使保护评估复杂化.
研究的目的:
- 根据未来的气候变化情景,调查地中海绿海 (Chelonia mydas) 筑巢地的潜在变化.
- 为了建模当前的化分布,并预测地中海盆地的未来适用性.
- 确定影响化地点选择的关键环境预测因素.
主要方法:
- 使用陆地和海洋变量模拟绿巢地的当前分布.
- 根据各种温室气体排放情景 (2000 - 2100年) 预计潜在的嵌套分布.
- 分析了人为因素和海面温度对筑巢概率的影响.
主要成果:
- 预计在地中海西部的巢穴概率将增加,无论气候情况如何.
- 与预期相反,更严重的气候变化场景可能会导致适合筑巢地区的增加.
- 关键预测因素包括人为变量的负面影响和与海面温度高达24-25°C的积极关联.
结论:
- 西地中海海很可能对未来绿海筑巢变得越来越重要.
- 积极的保护和管理至关重要,强调监测范围扩大和威胁检测.
- 这些发现凸显了全球变化对物种分布和息地适宜性的复杂,有时反直觉的影响.
相关概念视频
Global Climate Change
24.4K
Throughout its ~4.5 billion year history, the Earth has experienced periods of warming and cooling. However, the current drastic increase in global temperatures is well outside of the Earth’s cyclic norms, and evidence for human-caused global climate change is compelling. Paleoclimatology, the study of ancient climate conditions, provides ample evidence for human-caused global climate change by comparing recent conditions with those in the past.
24.4K
Habitat Fragmentation
17.5K
Habitat fragmentation describes the division of a more extensive, continuous habitat into smaller, discontinuous areas. Human activities such as land conversion, as well as slower geological processes leading to changes in the physical environment, are the two leading causes of habitat fragmentation. The fragmentation process typically follows the same steps: perforation, dissection, fragmentation, shrinkage, and attrition.
17.5K
What is Natural Selection?
115.3K
Natural selection is an evolutionary process in which individuals with survival-promoting traits reproduce at higher rates. These favorable traits become more common within a population or species. Naturally selected traits initially arise via random genetic mutations. In order for selection to occur, there must be variation within a population, the trait controlling the variation must be heritable, and there must be an evolutionary advantage for variation in the trait.
115.3K
Conservation of Declining Populations
9.6K
Conservation of declining population focuses on ways of detecting, diagnosing, and halting a population decline. The approach uses methods to prevent populations from going extinct.
9.6K
Responses to Heat and Cold Stress
13.5K
Every organism has an optimum temperature range within which healthy growth and physiological functioning can occur. At the ends of this range, there will be a minimum and maximum temperature that interrupt biological processes.
13.5K
Threats to Biodiversity
22.3K
There have been five major extinction events throughout geological history, resulting in the elimination of biodiversity, followed by a rebound of species that adapted to the new conditions. In the current geological epoch, the Holocene, there is a sixth extinction event in progress. This mass extinction has been attributed to human activities and is thus provisionally called the Anthropocene. In 2019 the human population reached 7.7 billion people and is projected to comprise 10 billion by...
22.3K


