扶贫政策和家庭收入:来自中国的证据
1School of Labor and Human Resources, Renmin University of China, Beijing 100872, Beijing China.
Heliyon
|December 11, 2023
概括
这项研究分析了减少贫困的政策,发现它们通常会提高家庭收入. 然而,有效性各不相同,特定的政策组合对收入水平产生最大影响.
科学领域:
- 社会经济学 社会经济学
- 公共政策分析 公共政策分析
- 计量经济学 计量经济学
背景情况:
- 扶贫政策对于改善社会经济地位至关重要.
- 了解政策对家庭收入的影响差异对于有效的资源配置至关重要.
- 现有的研究往往缺乏对不同收入层的政策有效性的细分分析.
研究的目的:
- 分析各种减贫政策对家庭收入的影响.
- 根据其重要性,识别和排列影响家庭收入的因素.
- 开发一种新的方法来评估政策对家庭总收入的有效性.
主要方法:
- 利用了受益于扶贫政策的家庭调查数据.
- 实施传统的随机森林方法进行个人收入分析.
- 提出了一种基于copula的新分割方法,用于构建分析整体家庭收入的选择树.
主要成果:
- 实施的减贫政策在增加家庭收入方面表现出普遍的有效性.
- 在不同家庭收入水平之间观察到政策有效性的显著差异.
- 确定了对家庭收入产生最实质性影响的具体政策安排.
结论:
- 扶贫政策是有效的,但由于影响不同,需要量身定制的方法.
- 基于的新选择树提供了对政策影响评估的新视角.
- 基于确定影响因素的政策优化可以最大限度地提高家庭收入.
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