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灾难的法医调查:过去的成就和新的方向
Irasema Alcántara-Ayala1, Ian Burton2, Allan Lavell3
1Institute of Geography, National Autonomous University of Mexico (UNAM), Mexico City, Mexico.
Jamba (Potchefstroom, South Africa)
|December 11, 2023
概括
了解20世纪20年代的灾害风险需要认识到社会价值观和目标. 评估了法医灾害调查 (FORIN) 方法在应对全球变化中灾难风险的根本原因方面的有效性.
科学领域:
- 灾害风险科学 科学 灾害风险科学
- 社会的转变社会转变.
- 跨学科研究跨学科研究
背景情况:
- 在20世纪20年代,有效的灾害风险管理需要了解价值观,目标,政治和经济权力以及社会权威在塑造发展中的相互作用.
- 自2010年以来开发的灾害法医调查 (FORIN) 方法旨在支持跨学科的研究,以识别和解决灾难风险的根本原因和驱动因素的社会途径.
- 当前的全球挑战,包括气候变化,COVID-19大流行和地缘政治不稳定,需要对灾害风险研究进行新的理解和方法.
研究的目的:
- 探索和评估灾难法医调查 (FORIN) 方法的成就和失败.
- 确定灾难风险研究中新的方法和理解的关键要求.
- 在正在进行的全球转型变化中将灾害风险研究置于背景中.
主要方法:
- 对灾难法医调查 (FORIN) 方法的批判性评估.
- 审查现有的灾害风险框架和实际经验.
- 分析当代全球危机及其对灾害风险的影响.
主要成果:
- 福林方法有助于了解灾害风险驱动因素,但在解决复杂的系统性问题方面存在局限性.
- 新的灾害风险研究方法必须考虑到自然事件,社会因素和全球危机的相互联系.
- "所有风险"或"所有灾难"的观点对于全球向可持续发展和人类安全转型至关重要.
结论:
- 福林方法提供了有价值的见解,但需要进化来应对当代灾害风险挑战.
- 未来的灾害风险研究必须是跨学科的,系统的,综合的,考虑到人类的安全和权利.
- 建议设立政府间灾害风险小组,定期评估风险科学,促进可持续性和问责制.
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