经济衰退对教育和收入的长期影响
1George Washington University.
概括
1980-1982年的经济衰退对长期的教育和收入产生了重大影响. 幼儿时期遭受经济衰退的影响,降低了大学学历和成人收入,造成了重大的总体后果.
科学领域:
- 经济学 经济学 经济学
- 社会学 社会学 社会学
- 人口统计学 人口统计学
背景情况:
- 经济衰退可能对个人产生持久的影响.
- 了解早期经济冲击的长期后果对于政策至关重要.
- 1980-1982年的经济衰退为研究这些影响提供了一个重要的历史事件.
研究的目的:
- 研究1980-1982年经济衰退对教育程度和成人收入的长期影响.
- 量化早期儿童时期经济衰退严重程度对以后生活结果的影响.
- 估计经济衰退造成的总体经济和教育损失.
主要方法:
- 利用人口普查的机密数据进行全面分析.
- 采用差异差异回归模型.
- 利用各县经济衰退严重程度的变化以及经济衰退时的队列年龄.
主要成果:
- 1980年至1982年,县人均收入下降了10%,在0-10岁的个人中,四年制大学学位的获得率下降了15%.
- 同样的经济冲击导致成年人的收入减少了5%.
- 总的估计表明,大学毕业生减少了1320万至2800万,年收入减少了66至1390亿美元.
结论:
- 早期暴露于严重的经济衰退对教育和收入产生了深刻而持久的负面影响.
- 1980年至1982年的经济衰退导致了人力资本和经济生产率的重大,可量化的损失.
- 调查结果强调了减轻衰退对弱势年轻人群的影响的重要性.
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