俄罗斯对平民的袭击加强了乌克兰的抵抗
Henrikas Bartusevičius1, Florian van Leeuwen2, Honorata Mazepus3
1Department of Peace and Conflict Dynamics, Peace Research Institute Oslo, Hausmanns Gate 3, 0186 Oslo, Norway.
PNAS nexus
|December 13, 2023
概括
俄罗斯对乌克兰平民的袭击并没有减少抵抗力. 相反,经历袭击或受害,增加了加入军队和捍卫乌克兰的动机. 这样的攻击是反作用的.
科学领域:
- 政治科学 政治科学是指政治学.
- 社会学 社会学 社会学
- 国际关系 国际关系
背景情况:
- 2022年俄罗斯对乌克兰的入侵涉及对平民的系统暴力.
- 军事战略家可能认为,平民袭击可以阻止抵抗,这种策略可能违反国际人道主义法.
研究的目的:
- 调查针对平民的军事袭击是否能阻止或激励抵抗.
- 分析受害者对乌克兰人抵抗入侵部队的动机的影响.
主要方法:
- 在2022年3月和4月期间在乌克兰进行的两波概率调查.
- 预先注册的调查数据分析 (三月份N=1,081,四月份N=811).
主要成果:
- 对军事袭击 (受害) 的看法和经验并没有降低乌克兰人的抵抗动机.
- 受害与增加加入军事战斗角色的动机有关.
结论:
- 对平民的军事袭击虽然是非法的和不道德的,但似乎反作用.
- 这种攻击可能会无意中加强乌克兰人抵抗入侵的决心和动机.
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