早期的饥荒经历如何影响家庭的能源转型?
Feiran Wang1, Tianyu Wei2, Shulei Cheng3
1Center for China Fiscal Development, Central University of Finance and Economics, Beijing, 102206, China.
Heliyon
|December 13, 2023
概括
早期的饥荒经历,比如中国的大饥荒,在成年期显著影响了家庭的能源转型. 这项研究揭示了对采用清洁能源的长期影响,特别是对于那些在童年和青春期遇到饥荒的人来说.
科学领域:
- 社会经济学 社会经济学
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
背景情况:
- 家庭能源转型对于可持续发展至关重要.
- 早期生活经历对能源选择的影响仍未得到充分研究.
- 中国大饥荒 (1959-1961) 为研究长期发展影响提供了一个独特的背景.
研究的目的:
- 研究经历中国大饥荒在早期生活对成年家庭能源转型的长期影响.
- 探索将早期饥荒暴露与现代能源消耗联系在一起的机制.
- 确定影响这种关系的人口因素.
主要方法:
- 利用了2015年中国一般社会调查的数据.
- 采用差异差异 (DID) 估计分析,将饥荒严重程度的变化视为一个准自然实验.
- 分析了在关键发育阶段暴露于不同强度饥荒的出生队伍.
主要成果:
- 早期的饥荒暴露显著促进了从传统燃料 (柴火,废物) 过渡到更清洁的能源,如液化天然气和电力.
- 对于那些在童年 (4-11岁) 和青春期 (12-17岁) 经历饥饿的人来说,这种影响最为明显.
- 机制包括健康状况恶化促使使用更清洁的能源,并增加因心理创伤而获得信息和情感支持的互联网访问.
结论:
- 早期的饥饿经历对家庭的能源转型途径产生了持久的,重大影响.
- 健康和信息获取调解了饥荒暴露与采用现代能源之间的关系.
- 调查结果为有针对性的能源政策提供了关键的见解,特别是考虑到人口差异 (女性主管,农村,受过教育,低收入家庭).
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