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11年的太阳周期是否会影响湖泊和河流冰的现象学?
Daniel F Schmidt1,2, Kevin M Grise2, Michael L Pace2
1Department of Mathematics, Liberty University, Lynchburg, Virginia, United States of America.
PloS one
|December 13, 2023
概括
太阳循环不会显著影响湖泊和河流冰的结/解日期. 虽然气候变化影响冰的现象学,但太阳活动几乎与冰上或冰下时间无关.
科学领域:
- 环境科学环境科学
- 气候科学是气候科学.
- 水文学的水文学
背景情况:
- 冰现象学 (冰上/冰下日期) 记录跨越北半球的几十年到几个世纪.
- 以前的研究将冰的现象学与全球变暖和气候变化联系起来 (例如,ENSO,NAO).
- 11年的太阳黑子周期被认为是冰的现象学的潜在驱动力.
研究的目的:
- 为了研究太阳周期与北半球湖泊和河冰现象学的潜在联系.
- 为了确定太阳活动是否影响冰上和冰下日期.
主要方法:
- 利用了来自北半球的湖泊和河流冰现象学记录的全面数据集.
- 分析了11年太阳黑子周期与观察到的冰上/冰下日期之间的相关性.
主要成果:
- 发现太阳黑子周期与冰上或冰下日期之间几乎没有相关性.
- 证明已建立的气候变化模式比太阳周期有更大的影响.
结论:
- 11年的太阳周期并不是北半球冰现象学的重要驱动因素.
- 虽然气候周期影响冰的结和解,但太阳活动的影响是可以忽略不计的.
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