非最佳温度导致的中风的全球负担:长期趋势,人口增长和老龄化影响
Shijie Zhu1, Jian Zhang2, Chunlong Liu3
1Department of Occupational and Environmental Health, School of Public Health, Wuhan University, Wuhan 430071, China.
Preventive medicine
|December 13, 2023
概括
由于气候变化和老龄化,全球中风负担正在转变. 虽然低温表明中风率稳定,但高温正在增加,特别是影响老龄化人口并阻碍预防工作.
科学领域:
- 环境流行病学环境流行病学
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
- 神经学 神经学
背景情况:
- 气候变化,人口增长和老龄化影响中风流行病学.
- 了解这些趋势对于公共卫生干预至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 分析非最佳温度相关性中风的长期趋势.
- 评估衰老和人口增长对中风流行病学的影响.
主要方法:
- 使用的2019年全球疾病负担数据.
- 采用多种方法来分析年龄标准化DALY率 (ASDR).
- 研究了从1990年到2019年的趋势,考虑到老龄化和人口增长的影响.
主要成果:
- 低温中风ASDR降低到2016年,然后稳定.
- 在全球范围内,高温中风ASDR显示持续增加.
- 在87.25%的国家中,衰老显著增加了低温中风的负担.
- 除人口因素外,高温中风DALY率在42.64%的地区上升.
结论:
- 尽管低温的绝对负担更大,但高温中风是全球日益关注的问题.
- 社会发展已经减轻了低温中风的负担,但不是高温的负担.
- 气候变化和人口老龄化对中风预防策略构成重大挑战.
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