使用蒙特卡洛的方法,研究区域地下水源中化物和酸盐的化学参数,风险评估和灵敏度分析之间的相关性
Roya Morovati1, Ahmad Badeenezhad2, Mitra Najafi1
1Environmental Health, Department of Environmental Health Engineering, School of Health, Shiraz University of Medical Sciences, Shiraz, Iran.
Environmental geochemistry and health
|December 15, 2023
概括
阿桑扬的地下水主要适合灌,但需要仔细考虑饮用. 化物和酸盐对所有年龄组的健康风险都很低,体重影响敏感性.
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 水文地质学 水文地质学
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
背景情况:
- 地下水是干旱地区饮用和灌的关键资源.
- 评估地下水的化学质量和相关的健康风险至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 调查阿尔桑扬的饮用和灌地下水的化学质量.
- 评估化物和酸盐对健康的非致癌风险.
- 使用蒙特卡洛方法分析特定年龄的健康风险敏感性.
主要方法:
- 从封闭的含水层收集了171个地下水样本.
- 分析了水文参数,包括EC,TDS和总硬度.
- 应用水质指数 (WQI),灌水质指数 (IWQI),蒙特卡洛模拟,主要组件分析 (PCA) 和等级集群分析.
主要成果:
- 33%的地下水样本被归类为饮用质量差.
- 96.36%的样本对灌非常好 (IWQI < 25).
- 化物和酸盐对口腔和皮肤健康的风险在所有年龄组都低于1.
结论:
- 阿尔桑扬的地下水主要适用于灌.
- 化物和酸盐对健康的非致癌风险在所有年龄段都是最小的.
- 体重是对健康风险敏感性的关键因素,地下水化学受地质和人为因素的影响.
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