三个世纪以来父母的性别偏好:来自阿根廷的证据
Fernando Antonio Ignacio González1
1Escuela de Ciencias Empresariales, Universidad Católica del Norte, Coquimbo, Chile.
Economics and human biology
|December 15, 2023
概括
阿根廷的父母始终更喜欢儿子和女儿的混合,而不是同性孩子. 这种偏好影响了家庭规模,影响了几个世纪以来的整体生育率.
科学领域:
- 人口统计学 人口统计学
- 社会学 社会学 社会学
- 经济学 经济学 经济学
背景情况:
- 父母的性别偏好影响生殖决策和家庭规模.
- 了解这些偏好对于人口和社会经济分析至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 检查从19世纪到21世纪在阿根廷的父母性别偏好的演变.
- 分析这些偏好如何影响生育模式和结果.
主要方法:
- 利用阿根廷人口普查的微数据,涵盖了19世纪,20世纪和21世纪.
- 采用了一个估计策略,利用可信的随机分配儿童的性别.
- 根据前两个孩子的性别组成,分析了第三个孩子的条件概率.
主要成果:
- 观察到对混合性别儿童 (至少一个男孩和一个女孩) 的持续偏好.
- 同性第一两个孩子的夫妇有9%-23%的第三个孩子的概率增加.
- 性别偏好随着时间的推移表现出异质性,这表明社会规范在不断变化.
结论:
- 混合性别偏好在阿根廷显著影响生育决策.
- 减少这些偏好可能会导致整体生育率下降.
- 研究结果支持将兄弟姐妹的性别组成作为生育影响研究中的工具变量.
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