估计澳大利亚因身体不活动而导致的癌症
Louisa Ellis1, Roger L Milne2, Melissa M Moore3
1Cancer Epidemiology Division, Cancer Council Victoria, Australia; Melbourne School of Population and Global Health, The University of Melbourne, Australia.
Journal of science and medicine in sport
|December 16, 2023
概括
身体不活动与澳大利亚的癌症病例比以前认为的要多得多. 促进体育活动对于全国癌症预防工作至关重要.
科学领域:
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
- 流行病学 流行病学
- 癌症研究 癌症研究
背景情况:
- 之前的估计表明,2010年澳大利亚有1814例癌症病例 (1.6%的癌症病例) 与身体不活动有关,仅考虑了三个癌症部位.
- 这项研究旨在重新评估澳大利亚13个癌症部位的更广泛范围内的身体不活动导致的癌症负担.
研究的目的:
- 估计澳大利亚13个癌症部位的身体不活动导致的癌症病例数量.
- 量化增加体育活动对澳大利亚癌症预防的潜在影响.
主要方法:
- 使用人口归因分数来估计与身体不活动相关的特定癌症病例.
- 使用潜在影响分数来建模可以预防的癌症病例,如果身体活动水平增加了适度.
- 纳入了国家体育活动数据 (2004-05),癌症发病率数据 (2015) 和相对风险估计,假设10年的潜伏期.
主要成果:
- 据估计,2015年诊断的6361例癌症病例 (占所有癌症的4.8%) 是由于身体不活动造成的.
- 2004年至2005年澳大利亚成年人中体育活动增加1个类别的适度,可能会在2015年预防2564例癌症病例 (占所有癌症的1.9%).
结论:
- 由于身体不活动而导致的癌症负担比以前报告的高出三倍多.
- 促进体育活动必须成为澳大利亚癌症预防计划的核心策略.
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