预测来自新热带生态区受威胁鸟类的未来
Dorinny Lisboa de Carvalho1, Sofia Marques Silva2, Tiago Sousa-Neves3,4
1Programa de Pós-Graduação em Zoologia, Universidade Federal do Pará, Museu Paraense Emílio Goeldi, Av. Augusto Corrêa 01, Guamá, Belém, PA, CEP 66075-110, Brazil. dorinny.lisboa@gmail.com.
Environmental monitoring and assessment
|December 19, 2023
概括
巴西的保护区不足以保护面临气候变化的危鸟类. 保护工作必须扩大保护区,建立扩散走廊,以防止物种灭绝.
科学领域:
- 生态与保护生物学 生态与保护生物学
- 气候变化对生物多样性的影响
- 新热带鸟类学 新热带鸟类学
背景情况:
- 新热带地区的物种非常容易受到气候变化的影响,因为它们靠近热极限.
- 在新热带地区现有的保护区 (PA) 系统在当前条件下可能是无效的.
- 迫切需要确定保护优先事项和有效的保护区.
研究的目的:
- 评估巴西北部保护区系统对24种危鸟类的有效性.
- 在当前和未来的气候变化场景下评估物种保护 (RCP8.5).
- 确定保护的优先区域,包括分散走廊.
主要方法:
- 种类分布建模以预测当前和未来的范围.
- 分散走廊建模,以确定保护区之间的连接.
- 在巴西生态环境中对24种危鸟类的分析.
主要成果:
- 一些危的鸟类物种目前在现有的PA系统中受到保护,并且可能受到保护.
- 目前的保护区覆盖面不足以维持生态基层中的物种种群.
- 大多数研究的物种预计将经历严重的范围下降,其中一些面临着迫在眉的全球灭绝.
结论:
- 连接保护区的散播走廊网络对于物种的持续存在至关重要.
- 实施公共政策和提高公众意识对于有效的保护至关重要.
- 为了保护受威胁的生物多样性,在保护区,走廊和相邻土地内减轻人为影响至关重要.
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