在横截面调解中对时间偏差的灵敏度分析
A R Georgeson1, Diana Alvarez-Bartolo1, David P MacKinnon1
1Department of Psychology, Arizona State University.
Psychological methods
|December 21, 2023
概括
横截面调解分析可能会产生偏差的结果. 这项研究引入了灵敏度分析,以评估潜在的时间偏差,改善了在纵向数据无法获得时,对横截面调解模型的原则性使用.
科学领域:
- 社会科学中的方法论.
- 统计建模 统计建模
- 心理学研究 心理学研究
背景情况:
- 截面调解分析被广泛使用,但已知会产生偏差的参数估计.
- 30多年来,关于调解中的时间优先权的方法论问题一直存在.
- 尽管有局限性,横截面调解模型有时是唯一可行的分析方法.
研究的目的:
- 为横截面调解分析提出一种新的灵敏度分析程序.
- 引导研究人员原则性地应用横截面调解模型.
- 为了减轻横截面设计中固有的时间偏差问题.
主要方法:
- 一种灵敏度分析程序的开发,灵感来源于两波纵向介导模型.
- 在拟议模型中,利用幻变量用于基线数据.
- 分析交叉滞后,自回归和基线相关性,以确定截面和纵向结论之间的差异条件.
主要成果:
- 灵敏度分析可以确定纵向条件,其中横截面结论显著不同.
- 在b路径的标志和效果大小上的差异最明显的是小的截面效果大小和类似的自回归/交叉滞后相关性.
- 该程序表明,当提供适当的输入参数时,能够恢复实际的纵向效应大小.
结论:
- 建议的灵敏度分析为评估跨截面调解中的时间偏差提供了一个有价值的工具.
- 这种灵敏度分析的常规应用可以提高对调解结果的解释.
- 虽然不是纵向数据的替代品,但该程序促进了对横截面调解分析的更严格使用.
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