人力资本影响宗教认同:肯尼亚的因果证据
Livia Alfonsi1, Michal Bauer2, Julie Chytilová3
1Harvard University.
概括
由除虫计划改善的教育和生活水平减少了肯尼亚人中五旬节教派成员的数量. 这种转变表明经济因素影响宗教选择,而不是世俗化.
科学领域:
- 对宗教信仰的社会经济影响.
- 在社会科学中的因果推理.
- 发展经济学和宗教研究.
背景情况:
- 了解宗教教派选择的驱动因素对于社会科学至关重要.
- 五旬节主义在低收入地区的全球兴起需要对其决定因素进行调查.
- 人类资本和经济状况被假设会影响宗教信仰.
研究的目的:
- 调查人力资本,经济条件和宗教教派选择之间的因果关系.
- 评估教育和生活水平的外部改善对宗教信仰的长期影响.
- 探索社会经济因素塑造宗教身份的机制.
主要方法:
- 利用了超过5000个肯尼亚人的宗教历史的纵向数据集,跨越了20年的时间.
- 采用随机的除虫实验作为外源性冲击来提高教育和生活水平.
- 分析了干预对宗教教派成员的影响,区分五旬节派和传统基督教团体.
主要成果:
- 除虫计划显著降低了五旬节教派会员的可能性,直到干预后的20年.
- 观察到,传统基督教教派的会员人数也相应增加.
- 影响集中在那些在教育和收入方面获得最大收益的人群中,并且与宗教信仰减少无关.
结论:
- 人力资本和经济条件的外部改善因果关系地影响宗教教派的选择.
- 这些发现表明社会经济因素,而不是世俗化,解释了远离五旬节主义的转变.
- 结果提供了关于五旬节运动在全球低收入社区的集中程度的见解.
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