确定出生的新生儿死亡率的最佳预测模型-回顾性队列研究
Maria Livia Ognean1, Bianca Coțovanu2, Dumitru Alin Teacoe1,2
1Faculty of Medicine, Lucian Blaga University Sibiu, 550169 Sibiu, Romania.
Healthcare (Basel, Switzerland)
|December 22, 2023
概括
一个新的分数,MSNS-AT,准确地预测了生病新生儿的新生儿死亡率. 这一分数,包括入院的时间,改善了现有的SNS分数,特别是早产婴儿的SNS分数.
科学领域:
- 新生儿科学 新生儿科学
- 儿科重症监护 儿科重症监护
- 医疗评分系统 医学评分系统
背景情况:
- 新生儿运输对于结果至关重要.
- 早期识别重病新生儿对于及时干预至关重要.
- 对于新生儿死亡率缺乏明确的预测评分系统.
研究的目的:
- 开发一种快速,准确和用户友好的评分,用于预测超产新生儿的死亡率.
- 改进现有的新生儿死亡率预测评分系统.
主要方法:
- 在2015-2021年期间接收的418名转移新生儿的回顾性分析.
- 排除患有严重先天性异常的婴儿.
- 使用妊娠年龄,出生体重和入院时间开发MSNS-AT得分,并与Sick Neonatal Score (SNS) 进行比较.
主要成果:
- 在418名婴儿中,有20名婴儿死亡 (4.96%),没有幸存者有较低的妊娠年龄,出生体重和SNS.
- 住院的时间与整体和早产组的死亡率增加有显著关联.
- 与SNS (AUC 0.775-0.810) 相比,MSNS-AT得分在总体和早产婴儿死亡率方面显示出更高的预测准确度 (AUC 0.735-0.885).
结论:
- 新的MSNS-AT得分显著提高了新生儿入院时的死亡率预测,特别是早产婴儿.
- 住院的时间是决定性因素,与妊娠年龄和出生体重一起,决定出产的早产新生儿的结果.
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