一个实用的偏好模型揭示了在婚姻形成中分离偏好和可用性效应的偏好模型
Shuchi Goyal1, Mark S Handcock1, Heide M Jackson2
1Department of Statistics, University of California, Los Angeles, CA 90095-1554, USA.
概括
这项研究引入了一种新的模型,用于理解人口中伙伴关系的形成. 开发的估计器准确地识别了个人的偏好,即使是没有观察到的特征,在不同的人口组成中证明了强大.
科学领域:
- 人口建模的人口建模
- 社会学研究社会学研究
- 行为经济学是一种行为经济学.
背景情况:
- 建立伙伴关系对于人口分析至关重要.
- 现有的模型经常与未观察到的个体特征作斗争.
- 了解伴侣偏好需要考虑观察到的和未观察到的特征.
研究的目的:
- 开发一个强大的伙伴关系形成的统计模型.
- 为了创建一个估计器的偏好参数在双边群体.
- 通过模拟研究验证估计器的性能.
主要方法:
- 采用了一种对比模型,用于双边群体.
- 基于观察到的和未观察到的特征,内置了个别的实用功能.
- 使用关于伙伴关系和人口组成的样本调查数据开发了一个估计器.
- 使用收入和计划参与调查 (SIPP) 数据进行模拟研究.
主要成果:
- 估计器成功地恢复了偏好参数.
- 识别的偏好参数不变于合作伙伴可用性的变化.
- 估计器在模拟中显示了准确的置信区间覆盖.
- 该模型有效地捕捉了个人偏好,考虑了可观察和不可观察的因素.
结论:
- 开发的估计器提供了一种可靠的方法来分析伙伴关系的形成.
- 该模型对人口组成变化的稳定性得到证实.
- 这种方法通过考虑复杂的个人偏好来增强人口模型.
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