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对停止规则的实验性评估,旨在最大限度地提高调查中的成本-质量权衡
James Wagner1, Xinyu Zhang1, Michael R Elliott1
1University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, USA.
概括
新的调查停止规则平衡成本和质量. 贝叶斯方法以相似的成本提高了数据质量,而最大概率方法降低了成本,质量权衡较小.
科学领域:
- 调查方法调查方法.
- 统计建模 统计建模
- 卫生经济学 卫生经济学
背景情况:
- 调查面临着固有的成本错误权衡.
- 现有的停止规则优先考虑数据质量,假设统一的案件成本.
- 这种假设往往是无效的,因为案件成本差异很大.
研究的目的:
- 开发和评估一个新的调查停止规则,同时考虑预测成本和质量.
- 将这个新规则与以质量为重点的规则进行比较,该规则针对难以招聘的案件.
主要方法:
- 在2020年健康和退休研究 (HRS) 数据上对新的成本和质量意识停止规则进行实验测试.
- 与控制规则的比较侧重于招聘困难.
- 对拟议规则的贝叶斯版本和最大概率 (ML) 版本的评估.
主要成果:
- 新规则的贝叶斯版本以可比成本产生了更高的数据质量.
- 与控制组相比,ML版本带来了适度的质量降低,但与控制组相比节省了大量成本.
- 拟议的规则提供了一种灵活的方法来管理调查成本-错误权衡.
结论:
- 将预测成本纳入调查停止规则可以优化资源分配.
- 贝叶斯方法在提高数据质量,同时管理成本方面表现有前途.
- 开发的规则为有效的调查管理提供了数据驱动的战略.
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