负载预测的数据驱动模型:案例研究 阿尔及利亚
Rania Farah1, Brahim Farou1, Zineddine Kouahla1
1Department of Computer Science, LabStic Laboratory, University 8 May 1945, Guelma, Algeria.
Data in brief
|December 26, 2023
概括
本研究使用阿尔及利亚的历史每小时能源消耗数据 (2008-2020年) 来开发预测模型. 这些模型旨在改善能源需求预测,以更好地管理资源.
科学领域:
- 数据科学数据科学数据科学
- 能源系统分析 能源系统分析
- 统计建模 统计建模
背景情况:
- 准确的能源需求预测对于资源管理和社会需求至关重要.
- 历史数据分析对于开发可靠的能源消耗模型至关重要.
- 2008-2020年阿尔及利亚能源消耗数据为本研究提供了基础.
研究的目的:
- 开发和验证用于能源消耗预测的统计,数学和机器学习模型.
- 用历史数据分析每小时的能源消耗模式.
- 为了提高能源需求预测的准确性.
主要方法:
- 收集和分析每小时能源消耗数据 (2008-2020年).
- 应用统计技术和机器学习原则.
- 基于历史消费模式的预测模型的开发.
主要成果:
- 该研究提供了对历史能源消耗数据的全面分析.
- 开发的模型为能源使用模式提供了有价值的见解.
- 该方法使精确的能源需求预测成为可能.
结论:
- 历史数据分析和先进的建模是准确能源预测的关键.
- 开发的模型可以在能源资源规划和管理方面提供重要帮助.
- 这项研究有助于更有效地平衡能源供需.
相关概念视频
Mechanistic Models: Compartment Models in Algorithms for Numerical Problem Solving
56
Mechanistic models play a crucial role in algorithms for numerical problem-solving, particularly in nonlinear mixed effects modeling (NMEM). These models aim to minimize specific objective functions by evaluating various parameter estimates, leading to the development of systematic algorithms. In some cases, linearization techniques approximate the model using linear equations.
In individual population analyses, different algorithms are employed, such as Cauchy's method, which uses a...
In individual population analyses, different algorithms are employed, such as Cauchy's method, which uses a...
56
Econometric Views (EViews)
145
Econometric Views, often stylized as EViews, is a package that merges statistical analysis with econometric studies. It is designed to provide tools for time series analysis, forecasting, and econometric model simulation. The software originated from MicroTSP software and has evolved significantly since its inception in 1981. The history of EViews is marked by a continuous effort to enhance its computational speed and user interface. It was initially developed for large computing systems but...
145
Mechanistic Models: Compartment Models in Individual and Population Analysis
43
Mechanistic models are utilized in individual analysis using single-source data, but imperfections arise due to data collection errors, preventing perfect prediction of observed data. The mathematical equation involves known values (Xi), observed concentrations (Ci), measurement errors (εi), model parameters (ϕj), and the related function (ƒi) for i number of values. Different least-squares metrics quantify differences between predicted and observed values. The ordinary least...
43
Design Example: Analyzing Capacity Contours for Flood Risk Assessment
50
Flood risk assessment involves careful planning and analysis to ensure the safety of communities near water retention structures. Capacity contours are a vital tool in this process, as they illustrate the potential spread of water at specific levels in a given area. In the context of building a bund across a small valley, these contours play a critical role in evaluating the safety of nearby residential areas.In this example, the bund is intended to store stormwater in the valley. The engineers...
50
Prediction Intervals
2.3K
The interval estimate of any variable is known as the prediction interval. It helps decide if a point estimate is dependable.
However, the point estimate is most likely not the exact value of the population parameter, but close to it. After calculating point estimates, we construct interval estimates, called confidence intervals or prediction intervals. This prediction interval comprises a range of values unlike the point estimate and is a better predictor of the observed sample value, y.
However, the point estimate is most likely not the exact value of the population parameter, but close to it. After calculating point estimates, we construct interval estimates, called confidence intervals or prediction intervals. This prediction interval comprises a range of values unlike the point estimate and is a better predictor of the observed sample value, y.
2.3K
Regression Analysis
5.7K
Regression analysis is a statistical tool that describes a mathematical relationship between a dependent variable and one or more independent variables.
In regression analysis, a regression equation is determined based on the line of best fit– a line that best fits the data points plotted in a graph. This line is also called the regression line. The algebraic equation for the regression line is called the regression equation. It is represented as:
In regression analysis, a regression equation is determined based on the line of best fit– a line that best fits the data points plotted in a graph. This line is also called the regression line. The algebraic equation for the regression line is called the regression equation. It is represented as:
5.7K


