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在过去的六十年中观察到的地球系统变暖的强加速
Audrey Minière1,2, Karina von Schuckmann3, Jean-Baptiste Sallée4
1Université Toulouse III - Paul Sabatier, Toulouse, France. aminiere@mercator-ocean.fr.
Scientific reports
|December 27, 2023
概括
地球 地球 地球 地球 地球 地球
科学领域:
- 气候科学 气候科学
- 地球系统科学 地球系统科学
- 海洋学 海洋学 海洋学
背景情况:
- 全球变暖是不可否认的,但检测地球变暖速度的加速一直是具有挑战性的.
- 以前的研究表明,可能会增加加热速度,但确的证据是难以捉摸的.
研究的目的:
- 为了检测和量化自1960年以来地球系统变暖的加速.
- 分析地球主要组成部分 (海洋,陆地,冰层和大气) 的差异变暖加速.
主要方法:
- 从1960年到现在的观测数据的分析.
- 计算十年升温加速率,以每十年的W/m2表示.
- 敏感性分析和交叉数据集验证.
主要成果:
- 自1960年以来,海洋变暖一直以0.15±0.05 (W/m2) /十年的速度加速.
- 陆地,冰层和大气的变暖加速在0.013±0.003 (W/m2) /十年.
- 海洋变暖在1960-1970年和2010-2020年之间增加了0.91±0.80W/m2,尽管有十年的变化.
结论:
- 这项研究提供了强有力的证据,证明了地球系统变暖的加速,特别是在海洋中.
- 观察到的变暖加速与二氧化碳 (CO2) 的增加和气溶度的下降一致.
- 需要进一步的研究才能确定这些变暖趋势的归因.
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