关于设计铜行业去碳化路径,实现碳中立性的监管机制
Yifan Gu1, Hongyang Yang1, Yufeng Wu1
1Institute of Circular Economy, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing 100124, China.
Environmental science & technology
|December 28, 2023
概括
中国中国中国中国.
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 材料科学 材料科学 材料科学
- 工业生态学 工业生态学
背景情况:
- 全球碳中和目标正在重塑权力结构,增加铜需求.
- 铜行业面临着减少温室气体 (GHG) 排放的压力,以实现气候目标.
研究的目的:
- 调查中国铜业的脱碳途径.
- 分析国际贸易,循环经济,技术和环境市场对温室气体排放的影响.
- 确定有效的政策组合,以实现铜行业的碳中和.
主要方法:
- 材料流量分析 (MFA) 材料流量分析
- 生命周期评估 (LCA) 是一种生命周期评估.
- 场景分析 (12个子场景,包括政策组合)
主要成果:
- 预计到2060年,中国的精炼铜消费量将增长62.3%,达到2060年的62.3%.
- 在没有干预的情况下,中国铜业的温室气体排放量在2060年达到9.1万二氧化碳.
- 技术发展和环境市场是减少排放的关键因素 (分别为26.4%和47.2%).
- 国际贸易和循环经济对于碳峰值至关重要,但长期供应依赖进口和二级铜.
- 政策组合情景显示,到2060年,温室气体显著减少到0.5万二氧化碳.
结论:
- 政策干预,特别是材料替代和碳交易,对于净零温室气体排放至关重要.
- 短期关注绿色循环链和可持续供应的国际循环模式.
- 长期战略需要高质量的技术发展和加强碳中和环境市场.
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