基因型和气候变化的作用在范围边缘:葡萄酒的案例研究
Faith A M Jones1,2, Carl Bogdanoff3, E M Wolkovich1
1Department of Forest and Conservation, Faculty of Forestry, University of British Columbia, 2424 Main Mall, Vancouver, British Colombia, V6T 1Z4, Canada.
American journal of botany
|December 29, 2023
概括
气候变化正在改变植物息地,但寒冷耐受性的遗传差异会影响物种范围的变化. 耐寒葡萄葡萄的基因型在范围边缘表现出更好的适应性,但分散是扩张的关键.
科学领域:
- 生态生态学 生态生态学
- 遗传学 遗传学是一种遗传学.
- 气候科学 气候科学
背景情况:
- 气候变化正在推动物种范围的变化,在寒冷范围的边缘创造新的潜在息地.
- 预测这些变化是具有挑战性的,因为我们对植物生理学的遗传变异如何影响范围动态的理解有限.
研究的目的:
- 调查寒冷耐受性和近期变暖的遗传变异如何影响植物范围的扩大.
- 评估葡萄的气候适应性的变化 (Vitis vinifera亚种. 葡萄树 (vinifera) 在它们的寒冷范围边缘.
主要方法:
- 分析了来自13个地点的18种葡萄酒基因型的9年冷性数据.
- 使用贝叶斯分层剂量反应模型与格式气候数据相结合,预测从1949年到2016年的气候适应性变化.
主要成果:
- 植物在气温下降时表现出最大耐寒度的非线性增加,具有显著的基因型变异 (高达2°C).
- 自20世纪80年代以来,降低伤风险已经改善了所有基因型的冷区边缘条件.
- 息地适合性在空间上有所不同,有利于更耐寒的基因型和更温暖的微气候,最适合的地区位于狭窄的南北带.
结论:
- 生理学容忍的基因型差异对于预测物种在气候变化下的范围转移潜力至关重要.
- 复杂的景观中不均的息地改善突出了分散在成功扩展范围的关键作用.
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