在巴基斯坦对能源-二氧化碳排放关系的量级评估
1School of Management and Economics, Beijing Institute of Technology, Zhongguancun Campus, Haidian, Beijing, China. m.ahad68@yahoo.com.
Environmental science and pollution research international
|December 29, 2023
概括
巴基斯坦 巴基斯坦 巴基斯坦.
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 能源经济学 能源经济学
- 计量经济学 计量经济学
背景情况:
- 巴基斯坦的能源部门主要由非可再生能源 (>70%).
- 这种依赖挑战了可持续发展和低碳经济的目标.
- 了解能源-二氧化碳排放动态对于政策至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 确定可再生和非可再生能源对二氧化碳排放的影响的关键值.
- 分析不同能源消耗量度的长期关联和因果关系.
- 为巴基斯坦的可持续能源未来制定政策.
主要方法:
- 数据静止性的量子单位根分析.
- 对于长期的能源-二氧化碳关联而言,量化协同整合.
- 量子回归和因果关系分析用于影响评估.
主要成果:
- 非可再生能源显示出与二氧化碳排放的长期关联.
- 可再生能源对二氧化碳产生积极影响,特别是煤炭,石油和天然气在上方量子位.
- 总能源消耗对极低和极高量的二氧化碳排放有影响.
- 在能源消耗 (可再生能源和非可再生能源) 和二氧化碳排放之间存在双向因果关系.
结论:
- 可再生能源不会减少巴基斯坦的二氧化碳排放.
- 政策干预应侧重于减少对非可再生能源的依赖.
- 建议对资金,补贴和基础设施发展进行战略性重新分配.
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