人口老龄化对未来关节骨折负担增加的影响
Euan Harris1, Nick Clement2,3,4, Alasdair MacLullich2,3,4
1Queen Elizabeth University Hospital, Glasgow, UK.
The bone & joint journal
|December 31, 2023
概括
预计到2029年,苏格兰的部骨折发生率将增加32%,增加住院时间和费用. 这种日益增长的负担需要对健康和社会护理服务进行积极的规划.
科学领域:
- 老年医学 老年医学
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
- 医疗保健服务研究 医疗服务研究
背景情况:
- 关节骨折对医疗保健系统造成了重大和日益增长的负担.
- 人口老龄化预计将加剧这一问题,尽管未来的确切影响尚不清楚.
研究的目的:
- 预测苏格兰未来骨骨折的发生率.
- 为医疗保健服务提供提供信息,并维持护理标准.
主要方法:
- 利用了来自苏格兰关节骨折审计的历史数据 (2017-2021年).
- 使用时间序列预测 (指数式光滑,ARIMA) 来预测部骨折数量.
- 调整了对人口变化的预测,并分析了服务级结果的影响.
主要成果:
- 在2017-2021年期间,每年的部骨折增加了15% (6,675到7,797).
- 预计到2029年,每年关节骨折的数量将增加32% (10,311例).
- 预计住院时间将增加60699天,额外的每年费用为2500万英.
结论:
- 由于人口老龄化,关节骨折的发生率和负担将在2029年显著增加.
- 对健康和社会护理服务的重大影响需要战略规划.
相关概念视频
Bone Disorders
3.5K
Aging and its effect on bone remodeling is the most common cause of bone disorders. In young and healthy people, bone deposition and resorption happen at an equal rate to maintain optimal bone health.
Bone deposition is also affected by the levels of sex hormones like estrogen and testosterone that promote osteoblast activity and bone matrix synthesis. When the level of these hormones decreases due to aging, it causes a reduction in bone deposition. As a result, bone resorption by osteoclasts...
Bone deposition is also affected by the levels of sex hormones like estrogen and testosterone that promote osteoblast activity and bone matrix synthesis. When the level of these hormones decreases due to aging, it causes a reduction in bone deposition. As a result, bone resorption by osteoclasts...
3.5K
Current Trends in Nursing I
1.5K
Current trends in nursing include:
1.5K
Aging
54
Aging is a complex biological phenomenon influenced by various processes that affect cellular and systemic functions. Several prominent theories attempt to explain its mechanisms, highlighting cellular limitations, oxidative damage, and hormonal changes as central factors in aging.
Cellular Clock Theory
The cellular clock theory posits that the human lifespan is closely tied to the finite capacity of cells to divide, a phenomenon governed by telomeres, which are protective caps at the ends of...
Cellular Clock Theory
The cellular clock theory posits that the human lifespan is closely tied to the finite capacity of cells to divide, a phenomenon governed by telomeres, which are protective caps at the ends of...
54
Fractures: Bone Repair
3.2K
Treatment for a fracture is based on the type of break, the bone affected, and the patient's age.
Minor fractures with no bone displacement are treated by immobilizing the fractured bone using a cast or splint. However, in the case of fractures with displaced bones, the broken bones are repositioned before immobilization to ensure successful healing without deformation and loss of function. The realignment of fractured bone ends is performed through a process called reduction. If the...
Minor fractures with no bone displacement are treated by immobilizing the fractured bone using a cast or splint. However, in the case of fractures with displaced bones, the broken bones are repositioned before immobilization to ensure successful healing without deformation and loss of function. The realignment of fractured bone ends is performed through a process called reduction. If the...
3.2K


