能源部门发展对北极鸟类的累积影响的规模范围
Andrew D Crosby1, Lionel Leston1, Erin M Bayne1,2
1Department of Biological Sciences, University of Alberta, Edmonton, AB Canada.
概括
加拿大北极森林的能源部门发展对歌鸟在空间尺度上的分布产生不同影响. 在更大的尺度上观察到积极效应,突出了保护中需要进行多尺度分析的必要性.
科学领域:
- 生态生态学 生态生态学
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 野生动物管理 野生动物管理
背景情况:
- 工业发展,特别是在加拿大的北极森林,导致对生物多样性的累积环境影响.
- 工业足迹对野生动物种群的影响取决于规模,在生态理解和管理策略方面造成不确定性.
研究的目的:
- 估计能源部门发展对16种迁徙歌鸟物种分布的累积影响.
- 评估加拿大阿尔伯塔省多个空间尺度对歌鸟对能源发展的反应中尺度域的证据.
主要方法:
- 为了评估石油和天然气足迹对歌鸟的影响,采用了分层的,多尺度的采样和建模框架.
- 贝叶斯拉索被用来直接比较五个空间尺度的参数估计.
- 在物种之间测试了分组参数估计的差异,以确定尺度域.
主要成果:
- 在所有研究的歌鸟物种中观察到一致的依赖规模的模式.
- 歌鸟的反应各不相同,在中间尺度的影响很小,但在最大尺度的影响更强大,主要是积极的.
- 发现了对能源部门发展的歌鸟反应中规模域的强有力的证据,这些证据是由跨规模的分组参数估计的差异表明的.
结论:
- 较小规模的变量影响与个人息地选择有关,而更大规模的积极影响与息地通用主义者和与干扰相关的物种有关.
- 单一规模的分析不足以了解人口流程和土地利用变化的累积影响.
- 需要进一步的研究来将不同规模的生态模式联系起来,以便全面地管理野生动物种群.
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