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极端高温对中国湖泊变暖的影响
Weijia Wang1,2,3, Kun Shi4,5, Xiwen Wang1,6
1Taihu Laboratory for Lake Ecosystem Research, State Key Laboratory of Lake Science and Environment, Nanjing Institute of Geography and Limnology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Nanjing, 210008, China.
Nature communications
|January 3, 2024
概括
在中国,极端的热量正在增加,显著影响湖泊变暖. 这些事件对湖面温度的观察到的变暖趋势贡献了超过三分之一,突出了它们在气候变化研究中的关键作用.
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 气候科学 气候科学
- 临界技术 临界技术
背景情况:
- 全球湖泊生态系统面临着不断上升的极端热量,但它们对湖泊变暖的影响尚未完全理解.
- 了解这些影响对于预测未来水生生态系统变化至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 量化极端热量对中国湖面温度变化的贡献.
- 评估影响湖泊的极端高温频率和强度的趋势.
主要方法:
- 使用混合物理基础/统计模型.
- 从1985年到2022年,分析了中国2260个湖泊的地表水温数据.
- 通过比较这些事件和没有这些事件的变暖趋势来量化极端热量的影响.
主要成果:
- 中国的极端热量正在增加约2.08天/十年和0.03°C/天/十年.
- 消除极端的热量减少了湖面水的变暖率从0.16°C/十年到0.13°C/十年.
- 极端的热量占研究中国湖泊的变暖趋势的36.5%.
结论:
- 极端的热量显著影响长期的湖面温度变化.
- 准确的气候影响评估必须纳入极端高温的影响.
- 这些发现强调了湖泊生态系统对极端高温事件的脆弱性.
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