从民主选举过程的稳定性到计算机宣传
Glory M Givi1,2, Robin Delabays3, Matthieu Jacquemet2,4
1Department of Quantum Matter Physics, University of Geneva, 1211, Geneva, Switzerland.
Scientific reports
|January 3, 2024
概括
数学模型表明,具有较高选民互动的较少两极分化的选民对虚假新闻更有弹性. 比例选举制度提供了最强大的防御意见操纵.
科学领域:
- 政治科学 政治科学是指政治学.
- 计算社会科学 计算社会科学
- 网络科学 网络科学
背景情况:
- 越来越多的证据表明,系统的假新闻传播影响了民主选举.
- 了解选民对论操纵的抵抗力至关重要.
- 确定强大的选举系统来抵御外部影响是很重要的.
研究的目的:
- 在数学上建模民主选举过程.
- 确定弹性选民群体的社会特征.
- 为了确定哪些选举系统是最强大的对操纵.
主要方法:
- 构建一个数学选举模型.
- 模拟意见操纵场景的模拟.
- 对选民偏见,两极分化和选民互动的分析.
主要成果:
- 具有明确选举结果的偏见选民通常具有弹性.
- 不偏见或弱偏见的选民在接近选举时更有弹性,当两极分化较小,选民互动较高时更有弹性.
- 比例代表制度显示出更强大的稳定性.
结论:
- 选民人口特征和选举系统设计显著影响了对假新闻的抵御力.
- 该模型质量地复制了美国众议院选举波动,验证了该方法.
- 调查结果为加强反对数字操纵的民主进程提供了洞察力.
相关概念视频
Group Polarization
34.3K
Group polarization is the strengthening of an original group attitude following the discussion of views within a group (Teger & Pruitt, 1967). That is, if a group initially favors a viewpoint, after discussion the group consensus is likely a stronger endorsement of the viewpoint. Conversely, if the group was initially opposed to a viewpoint, group discussion would likely lead to stronger opposition.
34.3K
Social Proof
27.7K
Social proof is a form of persuasion based on comparison and conformity. People compare their behavior and actions to what others are doing and will change to conform to do what their peers do.
27.7K
Routes of Persuasion
64.1K
Persuasion is the process of changing our attitude toward something based on some kind of communication. Much of the persuasion we experience comes from outside forces. How do people convince others to change their attitudes, beliefs, and behaviors? What communications do you receive that attempt to persuade you to change your attitudes, beliefs, and behaviors?
64.1K
Bullying
8.4K
A modern form of aggression is bullying. As you learn in your study of child development, socializing and playing with other children is beneficial for children’s psychological development. However, as you may have experienced as a child, not all play behavior has positive outcomes. Some children are aggressive and want to play roughly. Other children are selfish and do not want to share toys. One form of negative social interactions among children that has become a national concern is...
8.4K
Randomized Experiments
7.0K
The randomization process involves assigning study participants randomly to experimental or control groups based on their probability of being equally assigned. Randomization is meant to eliminate selection bias and balance known and unknown confounding factors so that the control group is similar to the treatment group as much as possible. A computer program and a random number generator can be used to assign participants to groups in a way that minimizes bias.
Simple randomization
Simple...
Simple randomization
Simple...
7.0K
Bias
4.2K
Bias refers to any tendency that prevents a question from being considered unprejudiced. In research, bias occurs when one outcome or answer is selected or encouraged over others in sampling or testing. Bias can occur during any research phase, including study design, data collection, analysis, and publication.
In statistics, a sampling bias is created when a sample is collected from a population, and some members of the population are not as likely to be chosen as others (remember, each member...
In statistics, a sampling bias is created when a sample is collected from a population, and some members of the population are not as likely to be chosen as others (remember, each member...
4.2K


