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需要利益相关者驱动的变革性适应,以实现撒哈拉以南非洲的气候智能营养安全
Stewart Jennings1, Andrew Challinor2, Pete Smith3
1Institute for Climate and Atmospheric Science, School of Earth and Environment, University of Leeds, Leeds, United Kingdom. s.a.jennings@leeds.ac.uk.
Nature food
|January 3, 2024
概括
在撒哈拉以南非洲地区实现营养安全需要将农业多样化,以营养丰富的食物. 气候智能农业是必不可少的,但提高产量至关重要,以避免扩大农田或依赖具有挑战性的进口.
科学领域:
- 农业科学 农业科学
- 气候科学 气候科学
- 营养科学 营养科学
背景情况:
- 撒哈拉以南非洲地区面临着日益严重的气候风险和人口增长,威胁着营养安全.
- 关于如何同时解决气候智能农业和营养安全的研究有限.
- 对于有效的粮食系统转型,需要一个强有力的证据基础.
研究的目的:
- 探索利益相关者驱动的情景,以实现粮食系统向气候智能营养安全转型.
- 评估农业变革对四个非洲国家的营养安全和温室气体排放的影响.
- 为实现气候变化下的营养安全提供与政策相关的信息.
主要方法:
- 使用综合评估框架 (iFEED),结合气候-食品排放建模.
- 为粮食系统转型制定了利益相关者驱动的场景.
- 将复杂模型的输出转化为与政策相关的含义陈述.
主要成果:
- 农业生产的多样化,包括更多的富含微量营养素的食品,对于人口级营养素供应至关重要.
- 为了防止农业面积的扩大,需要大幅提高产量.
- 转型可能会增加温室气体排放,而依赖进口会带来经济和政治挑战.
结论:
- 气候智能农业和多元化粮食生产对于该地区未来的营养安全至关重要.
- 在农业转型与减排之间取得平衡是关键的挑战.
- 减少对进口的依赖对于经济和政治稳定至关重要.
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