大规模内部迁移对碳排放的因果关系和自主缓冲机制:来自中国的证据
Wanting Xu1,2, Chenghua Guan1,2, Xiaofan Li1,3
1School of Economics and Resource Management, Beijing Normal University, Beijing, 100875, China.
Environmental science and pollution research international
|January 3, 2024
概括
大规模的内部移民大大增加了中国城市的碳排放. 然而,人口聚集和技术创新起到了关键的缓冲作用,减轻了城市的环境影响.
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 城市研究 城市研究
- 经济学 经济学 经济学
背景情况:
- 中国的快速城市化和内部移民推动了经济增长,但也增加了城市碳排放.
- 关于内部迁移与碳排放之间的因果关系,以及人口聚集和技术创新等缓解机制的作用,研究有限.
研究的目的:
- 确定国内移民对中国县级城市碳排放的因果关系.
- 调查人口聚集和技术创新如何调解移民和碳排放之间的关系.
主要方法:
- 采用工具变量方法来确定因果关系.
- 利用调解效应模型来分析人口聚集和技术创新的缓冲作用.
主要成果:
- 移民比例增加1%与人均碳排放增加1.9%相关.
- 人口迁移促进了人口聚集和技术创新.
- 人口聚集和技术创新缓冲区分别为11.9%和5.4%的迁移引起的碳排放.
结论:
- 在中国,内部移民大大增加了城市的碳排放.
- 人口聚集和技术创新是减轻移民接收城市碳排放的重要自主机制.
- 调查结果为制定有效的城市环境政策提供了关键的见解.
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