在COVID-19流行病的第一年,新癌症诊断人数下降 - - 在波兰西部对350万个人的队列研究
Maciej Trojanowski1, Piotr Radomyski2,3, Witold Kycler4
1Greater Poland Cancer Registry, Greater Poland Cancer Centre, Poznan, Poland.
Frontiers in oncology
|January 5, 2024
概括
2020年,COVID-19大流行导致大波兰的新癌症诊断显著下降,男性的病例减少了20%,女性的病例减少了17%. 这种下降在男性骨髓瘤和女性骨癌中最为明显.
科学领域:
- 在瘤学瘤学.
- 流行病学 流行病学
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
背景情况:
- 随着COVID-19的流行,全球医疗保健系统发生了重大破坏.
- 预计癌症发病率,诊断和生存率将受到大流行影响.
- 了解这些影响对于公共卫生规划和癌症护理提供至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 评估大波兰在COVID-19大流行 (2020) 的最初一年癌症发病率的变化.
- 量化癌症诊断中由流行病引起的差距.
- 为了确定受流行病相关干扰影响最大的特定癌症类型.
主要方法:
- 对大波兰癌症登记处2010年至2020年间诊断的数据进行分析.
- 计算标准化发病率 (SIR) 和发病率差异 (IRD),以评估2020年的变化.
- 观察到的癌症病例与基于大流行前趋势的预期数字的比较.
主要成果:
- 2020年,总体癌症发病率大幅下降:与预期相比,男性的病例减少了20%,女性的病例减少了17%.
- 在男性的骨髓瘤 (SIR 0.59) 和女性的骨癌 (SIR 0.47) 中,最显著的减少.
- 在女性中观察到未指定部位癌症的意外增加 (SIR 1.19),可能表明诊断访问问题.
结论:
- 2020年,COVID-19大流行导致波兰大区的癌症诊断显著下降,男性的癌症诊断减少更大.
- 特定的癌症,如骨髓瘤和骨癌,受到不成比例的影响.
- 这些发现突显了癌症治疗途径的潜在破坏,以及持续监测和干预的必要性.
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