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基于城市洪水动态模拟框架的LID水文过程对降雨模式的响应分析研究
Chengshuai Liu1, Tianning Xie1, Qiying Yu1
1School of Water Conservancy and Transportation, Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou, 450001, China.
Journal of environmental management
|January 5, 2024
概括
这项研究开发了一个动态的城市洪水模拟框架,以分析降雨影响和低影响发展 (LID) 措施. 随着降雨回归周期的增加和特定的降雨模式,LID的有效性会下降.
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 水文学的水文学
- 城市规划 城市规划
背景情况:
- 城市洪水是一个由降雨特征和管理策略加剧的关键问题.
- 低影响发展 (LID) 措施对于减轻城市洪水风险至关重要.
- 有效的洪水控制需要了解降雨模式和LID性能之间的相互作用.
研究的目的:
- 开发和验证一个动态的城市洪水模拟框架.
- 在LID措施下分析降雨模式对城市洪水的影响.
- 为城市洪水预警和LID管理提供理论基础.
主要方法:
- 动态的城市洪水模拟框架集成风暴水管理模型 (SWMM) 和地理信息系统 (GIS).
- 积极的洪水种子搜索算法用于增强的空间分析.
- 使用九个历史城市洪水事件进行校准和验证.
主要成果:
- 模拟框架显示了高适用性,NSE值为0.825 (校准) 和0.763 (验证).
- 对于超过20年回归周期的降雨事件,洪水范围变化最小.
- 随着降雨回归周期的增加和特定的降雨模式 (例如,高系数的单峰) 的增加,LID措施的有效性下降.
结论:
- 动态模拟框架是城市洪水分析的可靠工具.
- 在均的降雨模式下,LID措施最有效,而在双峰或某些单峰事件中,效果较差.
- 这些发现支持改进城市洪水预警系统和优化LID管理策略.
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