西北太平洋地区热带气旋强度不断增加,部分原因是西藏高原变暖
Jing Xu1, Ping Zhao2,3, Johnny C L Chan4,5
1Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, Beijing, 100081, China.
Nature communications
|January 5, 2024
概括
削弱的垂直风剪,而不是海洋的温暖,驱动在西北太平洋的强烈热带气旋. 西藏高原温度的升温是可能的原因,预计未来会有更强大的风暴.
科学领域:
- 大气科学 大气科学
- 气候科学 气候科学
- 海洋学 海洋学 海洋学
背景情况:
- 西北太平洋 (WNP) 经历了日益强烈的热带气旋 (TC) 活动.
- 海洋变暖是TC加剧的一个常被引用的,但可能被夸大了的因素.
研究的目的:
- 确定热带WNP中TC强度升级的主要驱动因素.
- 为了研究海洋因素与大气动力学之间的作用.
主要方法:
- 观察数据的分析.
- 数字模拟 数字模拟.
- 热力学因素和垂直风切割的分析.
主要成果:
- 减弱的垂直风剪,而不是海洋温度,是增加TC强度的主要驱动因素.
- 西藏高原的变暖被确定为降低垂直风剪率的可能原因.
- 海洋表面和地表温度在TC强化中起到很小的作用.
结论:
- 降低垂直风力剪切是加剧热带气旋在WNP中的主要因素.
- 西藏高原的变暖通过改变风力剪切显著影响TC强度.
- 未来的变暖情景预计该地区的热带气旋将更加强烈.
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