森林碳排放潜力和日本的可持续发展
Bingqi Zhang1, Janaki Imbulana Arachchi1, Shunsuke Managi2
1Urban Institute and School of Engineering, Kyushu University, 744 Motooka, Nishi-ku, Fukuoka, 819-0395, Japan.
Scientific reports
|January 5, 2024
概括
日本的森林可以抵消15.3%的排放,促进自然资本和包容性财富. 植树是维持碳去除潜力以实现可持续发展的关键.
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 林业林业 林业 林业 林业
- 经济学 经济学 经济学
背景情况:
- 森林是重要的碳汇,但它们在二氧化碳 (CO2) 消除中的作用在自然资本会计和可持续性评估中被低估了.
- 对森林碳捕获的准确估值对于减缓气候变化和可持续发展战略至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 预测日本的森林二氧化碳排放量及其到2042年的货币价值,评估其对包容性财富 (IW) 的贡献.
- 探索植树和森林管理在增强碳捕获和自然资本方面的潜力.
主要方法:
- 利用统计数据和卫星数据产品进行森林二氧化碳排放的全国和网格级预测.
- 在包容性财富 (IW) 框架内进行综合森林二氧化碳去除估计,以评估对可持续发展的贡献.
主要成果:
- 森林可以抵消日本15.3%的排放,并将自然资本增加6.8%,大大促进碳中和和IW增长.
- 预计森林二氧化碳的排放量将在2030年左右达到顶峰,植树对抵消未来的减少至关重要.
- 空间分析揭示了IW和森林二氧化碳去除之间的反向关系,这表明农村通过碳交易创造财富的潜力.
结论:
- 森林二氧化碳的去除对日本的碳中和目标和包容性财富增长做出了重大贡献.
- 战略性植林和森林管理对于持续的碳捕获效益至关重要.
- 发展国家碳交易市场可以促进农村经济发展,平衡城乡差距,增强整体可持续发展.
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