使用基于回归的模型预测加拿大光伏废弃物产生的情况
Monasib Romel1, Golam Kabir2, Kelvin Tsun Wai Ng3
1Industrial Systems Engineering, University of Regina, 3737 Wascana Pkwy, Regina, SK, S4S 0A2, Canada.
Environmental science and pollution research international
|January 5, 2024
概括
到2045年,加拿大面临着重大的光伏 (PV) 废弃物挑战,预测显示大量的退役太阳能电池板数量. 这项研究预测了未来的光伏废物,以帮助可持续的管理策略.
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 废物管理 废物管理
- 可再生能源技术可再生能源技术
背景情况:
- 全球光伏 (PV) 装置的快速扩张导致太阳能废弃物使用寿命结束的数量增加.
- 有效的管理策略对于解决光伏废物对环境和资源的影响至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 预测加拿大预计的光伏废弃物量.
- 为政府机构制定可持续的光伏废物管理计划提供信息.
主要方法:
- 利用线性回归,二次多项式回归和功率回归模型用于太阳能废物量预测.
- 分析了基于加拿大的历史光伏容量增长的趋势.
主要成果:
- 预计加拿大在未来几年将面临相当大的光伏模块退役处理挑战.
- 2045年光伏废弃物量估计在16万至27万之间,具体取决于损失情景.
- 早期损失情景预测到2045年,光伏废物将达到18万至27万.
结论:
- 这些发现突显了加拿大迫切需要一个强大的光伏废物管理框架.
- 该研究支持太阳能电池板材料循环经济方法的可行性.
- 协调的利益相关者战略对于减轻环境影响和优化资源使用至关重要.
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