[公式:查看文本] 通过[公式:查看文本]-卡普托分数导数和数值模拟分析[公式:查看文本]-19大流行过程的模型
Behnam Mohammadaliee1, Vahid Roomi1,2, Mohammad Esmael Samei3
1Department of Mathematics, Azarbaijan Shahid Madani University, Tabriz, Iran.
Scientific reports
|January 6, 2024
概括
这项研究使用卡普托的分数衍生物开发了COVID-19的分数流行病模型. 模拟显示卡普托衍生品与 0.95 顺序的最佳模型疾病流行.
科学领域:
- 数学流行病学数学流行病学
- 分数微积分的微积分计算.
- 传染病建模传染病建模
背景情况:
- COVID-19传播动态需要复杂的建模方法.
- 分数计算为捕捉复杂疾病行为提供了先进的工具.
- 了解流行病的传播需要强大的数学框架.
研究的目的:
- 使用卡普托的分数衍生物开发一种新的COVID-19的分数流行病模型.
- 分析模型平衡点的稳定性和灵敏性.
- 调查分数顺序对疾病传播动态的影响.
主要方法:
- 开发一个结合卡普托分数衍生物的COVID-19流行病模型.
- 使用下一代矩阵方法计算基本复制数 (R0).
- 在稳定性分析中应用固定点定理和在数值解决方案中应用分数欧勒法.
主要成果:
- 无疾病平衡点被证明是局部和全球稳定的.
- 敏感性分析确定了影响疾病传播的关键参数.
- 数值模拟表明,0.95级的卡普托导数提供了最准确的疾病流行率表示.
结论:
- 开发的分数流行病模型有效地捕捉了COVID-19传播动态.
- 分数计算,特别是卡普托的衍生值,为流行病建模提供了宝贵的见解.
- 这项研究为未来在分数流行病建模方面的研究提供了坚实的基础.
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