巴拿马的COVID-19疫情在巴拿马蔓延
Paulino Vigil-De Gracia1, Ilan Delgado2, Elias Saban3
1Complejo Hospitalario Dr. AAM Caja de Seguro Social, SIN/SENACYT, Transistmica, Bella Vista, Panama.
Heliyon
|January 8, 2024
概括
巴拿马的COVID-19流行病分析显示,病例和死亡人数每年增加两次,老年人群的死亡率显著增加. 这些发现对于制定有针对性的公共卫生战略至关重要.
科学领域:
- 流行病学 流行病学
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
- 传染病的动态传染病的动态.
背景情况:
- COVID-19 疫情对全球产生了深远的影响,需要详细分析其在特定地区的演变.
- 了解时间趋势和人口风险因素对于有效的流行病应对和资源分配至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 分析巴拿马首三年COVID-19大流行病的每周和每月演变情况.
- 为了识别病例和死亡的明显激增或峰值.
- 检查流行病趋势与不同年龄组之间的关系.
主要方法:
- 使用巴拿马卫生部 (2020年3月至2023年3月) 确认的COVID-19病例数据进行回顾性队列研究.
- 分析每日的国家数据,包括新病例,死亡,住院,ICU入院和特定年龄组的信息.
- 数据按流行病学周和月份分类,以追踪时间模式.
主要成果:
- 在三年内,巴拿马记录了超过100万例COVID-19病例和8621例死亡,整体死亡率为0.83%.
- 观察到病例和死亡人数每年出现两次急剧增长 (峰值),通常是在6月/7月和12月/1月.
- 随着年龄的增长,死亡率逐渐增加,老年人群的死亡率明显增加 (例如,在第一年80岁以上的人群中,死亡率为17.54%).
结论:
- 巴拿马的COVID-19死亡率最高的发生在第一年,在第三年显著下降.
- 死亡率强烈依赖年龄,对80岁以上的人来说,风险要大得多.
- 经常出现的双模式年增长突显了实施有针对性的公共卫生干预措施以减轻影响的关键时期.
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