消除贫困对中国碳中立性的影响
Xinlu Sun1, Zhifu Mi1, Huibin Du2
1The Bartlett School of Sustainable Construction, University College London, London WC1E 7HB, UK.
Science bulletin
|January 13, 2024
概括
在中国,消除贫困略微增加了家庭的碳足迹,不妨碍国家气候目标. 然而,较不发达的地区面临着这些努力带来的不成比例的更高的气候负担.
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 气候变化研究 气候变化研究
- 社会经济影响分析.
背景情况:
- 中国面临着缓解气候变化和减少社会不平等的双重挑战.
- 消除贫困的努力可以增加碳足迹,这可能与气候目标相冲突.
- 这些增加的排放量和它们对国家目标的影响的区域分布仍然未得到量化.
研究的目的:
- 调查中国各省碳足迹不平等的趋势.
- 量化与减贫计划相关的气候负担 (碳排放增加).
- 评估消除贫困对中国国家气候目标的影响.
主要方法:
- 分析中国省级碳足迹不平等的最新趋势.
- 估计因各种减贫战略而增加的碳排放量.
- 评估这些排放对国家气候缓解目标的影响.
主要成果:
- 预计消除贫困将导致家庭平均年碳足迹增加0.1%-1.2%,而不会阻碍国家气候目标.
- 在较不发达的省份,碳排放的增长可能达到4.0%,远高于较富裕的地区.
- 较不发达地区承受着消除贫困带来的更大的气候负担,可能抵消了减少排放的努力.
结论:
- 在不损害国家气候目标的情况下,可以在中国消除贫困.
- 与减贫相关的气候负担存在显著的区域差异.
- 区域间合作对于协调所有省份的低碳发展战略来减少不平等至关重要.
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